A recent Saint Anselm College survey reveals that former President Donald Trump has gained a slight lead over President Joe Biden in the key swing state of New Hampshire. The poll found that 44 percent of voters in the state would support Trump if the election were held today, compared to 42 percent who would back Biden. A small but significant 4 percent of voters in the Granite State backed independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
The poll, released following the latest presidential debate, represents a significant shift in voter sentiment since December, when voters in the Granite State were asked the same question. Director of the New Hampshire Institute of Politics Neil Levesque noted that Trump’s surge has erased a 10-point polling deficit and now gives the 45th president a narrow 2-point lead over Biden.
The poll also found that Trump enjoys a wider margin among moderate voters, with 44 percent supporting him and 38 percent backing Biden. The latest survey contributes to Biden’s lead in RealClearPolitics‘ average of polling in New Hampshire, although Levesque believes that “it’s now conclusive that New Hampshire is a competitive state in the presidential election.”
Levesque attributed the shift in sentiment to the debate, saying that it marked a pivot point in the political contest. He noted that voters tend to be highly partisan, and that the debate served as a catalyst for change in their preferences.
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