The Republican Party has seen a significant 11-point swing in their favor against the Democrat Party, with more Americans expressing affiliation with the GOP. According to a recent Gallup poll conducted between April 1 and 22, 47 percent of independent American voters leaned more towards the Republican Party, up from 42 percent in 2016. In comparison, 40 percent of voters leaned towards the Democrat Party, down from 46 percent in 2016. However, when independents were included as an option, the Republican lead decreased, with 27 percent leaning Republican and 25 percent leaning Democrat.
This shift comes as the Democrat Party is experiencing a decline in support, particularly among black and Hispanic voters. A Gallup poll released in February showed that the Democrat Party’s lead over the Republican Party with black voters had decreased by nearly 20 percent in three years. The same survey revealed a similar trend with Hispanic voters aged 18 to 29.
Furthermore, the Democrat Party is losing voter registration edge in key swing states like Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Nevada. For instance, in Pennsylvania, the Democrats’ registration advantage has dropped from 685,818 in 2020 to 399,494 as of April 2024. Similarly, in North Carolina, Democrats who had a 391,414 voter registration lead in 2020 now only hold a 170,943 lead over Republicans.
