Kamala Harris’s presidential campaign has failed to gain significant traction, despite the media’s enthusiastic coverage of her candidacy. Contrary to expectations, Donald J. Trump has regained the lead in the Electoral College probability model, as calculated by Nate Silver. This development is reminiscent of the 2020 election, where Biden’s lead was insurmountable at this point in the campaign.
Kamala Harris’s struggles to gain momentum can be attributed to her adoption of Joe Biden’s agenda, which has been widely criticized. Her flip-flop on the progressive platform she initially touted during her 2020 presidential run has also raised eyebrows among voters. The move has led some to question her electability, with a few even joking that she might endorse Trump, given her recent alignment with his policies.
The Trump vote has consistently been underestimated by pollsters, who have yet to accurately account for his support. In a close election, the advantage often lies with Trump and the GOP in the Electoral College, as noted by analysts like Silver.
