Battleground States Show Trump and Harris in a Statistical Tie

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A week before Election Day, the 2024 presidential election remains a nail-biter with neither candidate, former President Donald Trump or Vice President Kamala Harris, able to pull ahead of the other in the latest polls. According to the final New York Times/Siena College poll, the two candidates are deadlocked at 48% each, while a Wall Street Journal national poll shows Trump narrowly leading Harris, 47% to 45%, within the margin of error.

In the final stretch, both candidates are crisscrossing battleground states in an effort to secure votes and gain media attention. Harris spent Friday in Texas, a traditionally Republican state, alongside celebrity Beyoncé to emphasize abortion rights, while Trump held a rally at Madison Square Garden on Sunday evening that sparked controversy over racist comments made by a comedian.

As the campaign works to clean up the backlash, Trump plans to visit New Mexico and Virginia, two states that lean Democratic, and boasts about his campaign’s efforts in Colorado, where he hopes to convey confidence that the election is in the bag.

As the 2024 cycle winds down, Truth Voices has re-ranked the battleground states, identifying which ones will be the toughest for Harris to win.

At the top of the list is Georgia, where Trump has a significant lead over Harris, 49.2% to 46.9%, according to RealClearPolitics‘s poll average. Harris has attempted to gain ground by hosting a rally with former President Barack Obama, while Gov. Tim Walz (D-MN) will visit the state on Tuesday to encourage early voting and criticize the GOP ticket’s vision for the nation.

Arizona is another state where Harris has consistently trailed Trump in polling, with RealClearPolitics‘s poll average showing Trump leading 49.2% to 47.7%, and FiveThirtyEight showing Trump leading 48.7% to 46.8%.

North Carolina remains a crucial battleground for Trump, with the state consistently polling in his favor. Harris and Walz will visit several cities in the state on Wednesday, while Obama stumped in the state on Friday, criticizing Trump’s handling of the economy.

In Pennsylvania, the Keystone State, polls show a deeply divided commonwealth. The Washington Post poll average shows Harris leading by 1 point, while the New York Times poll average shows the two candidates tied at 48%. Harris spent Sunday in Philadelphia, courting Latino and African American voters.

Nevada and Michigan are also battleground states where polling shows a razor-thin race between Trump and Harris. Harris will visit Las Vegas and Reno on Thursday after billionaire Mark Cuban stumped in the state for her on Sunday, touting her economic plan.

Harris continues to poll slightly above Trump in Michigan, with the Washington Post poll average showing her leading by 2 points. She called in the big guns when she and former first lady Michelle Obama campaigned together in Kalamazoo on Saturday.

In Wisconsin, Harris has a consistent but slim lead over Trump in the final week before the election. However, a recent USA Today/Suffolk University poll shows Trump leading by 1 point, 48% to 47%.

Mabinty Quarshie
Mabinty Quarshie
National politics correspondent. Previously, Mabinty was a national political reporter and assistant elections editor at USA Today. She holds a bachelor’s from George Mason University and a master’s in journalism from Georgetown University.

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